Mortgage rates are breaking higher — and things can get worse with Iran conflict
The Iran war pushed the 10-year yield above a key level Friday and mortgage rates are headed higher as the conflict drags on.
Housing Market
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Housing demand still positive, but for how long with rising rates?
Rates rose above 6.25% and ended the week at 6.41% as spreads worsened while the 10-year yield neared its yearly high.
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Housing market is poised for growth in 2026 if Iran conflict doesn’t raise rates
2026 demand data is positive, but Iran-driven energy costs, 15% tariffs, and Fed hawks could push mortgage rates above 6.25%.
Mortgage rates steady near 6.15% as oil and jobs data pose risks
30-year mortgage rates hovered near 6.15% as employer payrolls fell by 92,000 in February and markets expected no Fed rate cut next week.
How will rising oil prices impact the U.S. housing market?
As oil spiked toward $120, the 10-year yield moved to 4.21% then eased to 4.13% while mortgage rates stayed near 6.17%.
Housing demand is up and inventory is down, even with Iran conflict
Housing indicators were broadly positive last week and mortgage rates remained in the low 6s, but the Iran war poses risks.