What to look for in Kevin Warsh’s first Fed meeting
With oil at $75.80 and mortgage rates near 6.50%, housing is watching whether Warsh can keep the Fed patient on hikes.
Inflation
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Continued Iran conflict raises mortgage rate risk into late 2026
If the Iran conflict lasts five to six more months, the peak mortgage rate could run 0.375% to 0.435% above 6.75% despite better spreads.
Housing demand stays positive with mortgage rates near 2026 highs
Weekly pending sales increased to 75,935 versus 69,636, and purchase apps were up 7% year over year despite higher mortgage rates.
What happens to mortgage rates if the Iran conflict is over?
Getting the 10-year yield and mortgage rates to pre-conflict lows will be harder than people think even if this conflict is truly over.
As retirement costs surge, more homeowners turn to their equity
65-and-older households now spend about $122,000 annually, compared with roughly $60,000 in 2000, according to survey data.
MBA chief economist says mortgage rates, inflation will stay elevated through 2026
MBA’s Mike Fratantoni expects 2026 inflation near 4% and no Fed cuts, keeping mortgage rates and bond yields elevated.
Mortgage rates level off, but is 6.5% the new normal?
Mortgage rates have soared in the past month, but market participants appeared to take a wait-and-see approach this week as they contemplate further price increases for home loans.
Mortgage rates are breaking higher — and things can get worse with Iran conflict
The Iran war pushed the 10-year yield above a key level Friday and mortgage rates are headed higher as the conflict drags on.
Rental vacancy data shows progress that can keep mortgage rates lower
Rental vacancy is 7.2% and homeowner vacancy is 1.2%, supporting shelter disinflation and steadier mortgage rates.
Another Fed rate cut to finish 2025? Not so fast
The odds that the Federal Reserve will cut benchmark interest rates again in December are still high — but not as high as they were before last week’s cut.