Hawks Lorie Logan and Beth Hammack run the Fed for now
Even though the Federal Reserve didn’t hike rates today, the hawks won three key victories with higher nominal and real yields.
Federal Reserve
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Real estate brokers say rising mortgage rates derail early 2026 housing rebound
Mortgage rates rose from 6.23% to 6.94% after Iran conflict escalation, and brokers now expect about 4 million home sales in 2026.
How high can mortgage rates go with Iran conflict 2.0?
As the 10-year nears 4.60%, rates could test 6.75%, but improved spreads and pricing suggest an upside cap near 7.25%.
Economic activity expands, but consumers feel the squeeze
Construction and real estate activity increased slightly overall, with several districts highlighting growth in data center building.
Can mortgage rates survive hawkish Fed talk during inflation week?
Markets watch monthly core inflation prints and conflict headlines as the 10-year holds near 4.60% and Fed tone stays hawkish.
Mortgage rates rise past 6.75% as inflation uncertainty persists
30-year conforming rates averaged 6.77%, with jumbo at 6.75%, as Fed messaging stayed hawkish and 1-year inflation expectations rose to 3.7%.
Why mortgage rates are rising, not falling, with oil under $70
A hawkish Fed outlook is anchoring the 10-year near 4.46% to 4.48%, keeping mortgage rates near 6.50% to 6.75% despite oil.
Why Fed President Beth Hammack wants more rate hikes
Oil is near $70, but Fed hawks cite sticky inflation and full employment, keeping rate hikes in play and mortgage rates from falling.
Why mortgage rates haven’t followed oil prices by moving lower
Many people in the housing industry are wondering why mortgage rates haven’t fallen even as oil prices have dropped from $111 per barrel to less than $73 today. The 10-year Treasury yield is at 4.48% and mortgage rates are near their yearly highs.
Mortgage rates move near 6.8% as the potential for a Fed hike grows
Sentiment has shifted when it comes to rate expectations as more housing market observers are predicting at least one rate hike this year.