MBA chief economist says mortgage rates, inflation will stay elevated through 2026
MBA’s Mike Fratantoni expects 2026 inflation near 4% and no Fed cuts, keeping mortgage rates and bond yields elevated.
Mortgage Rates
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Is housing inventory about to turn negative year over year?
U.S. inventory growth slowed to 3.21% year over year as rates neared 6.64%, with new listings down 7.9% from 2025.
The rumors aren’t true. Housing market crash unlikely despite war, high rates
HousingWire lead economic analyst Logan Mohtashami has cited a key ingredient needed for a crash that’s currently missing.
Mortgage rates level off, but is 6.5% the new normal?
Mortgage rates have soared in the past month, but market participants appeared to take a wait-and-see approach this week as they contemplate further price increases for home loans.
How is the housing market weathering war-time economics?
War-time economics have sent gas prices skyrocketing and pushed mortgage rates higher over the last five weeks, from a low of 5.99% to a high of 6.64%.
Housing demand holds up despite mortgage rates at yearly highs
Mortgage rates ended the week at 6.64%, purchase apps slowed to 5% YoY, inventory rose to 713,549 and mortgage spreads were about 2%.
Mortgage rates now closer to 7% than 6% as the Iran war escalates
Mortgage rates have risen from sub 6% to 6.62% as the Iran conflict escalates, while purchase apps fell 5% and growth slowed to 5%.
Housing demand still growing as mortgage rates reach inflection point
Despite higher oil prices and mortgage rates and no indication that Iran war is ending, existing home sales posted another positive week.
Mortgage rates are breaking higher — and things can get worse with Iran conflict
The Iran war pushed the 10-year yield above a key level Friday and mortgage rates are headed higher as the conflict drags on.
Optimal Blue’s Mike Vough on borrowers staying rate anchored into 2026
Optimal Blue’s Mike Vough says borrowers remain anchored to low mortgage rates as February’s refi share slipped to 41% and ARMs rose to 10%.