Housing market is poised for growth in 2026 if Iran conflict doesn’t raise rates
2026 demand data is positive, but Iran-driven energy costs, 15% tariffs, and Fed hawks could push mortgage rates above 6.25%.
Housing Market
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Mortgage rates steady near 6.15% as oil and jobs data pose risks
30-year mortgage rates hovered near 6.15% as employer payrolls fell by 92,000 in February and markets expected no Fed rate cut next week.
How will rising oil prices impact the U.S. housing market?
As oil spiked toward $120, the 10-year yield moved to 4.21% then eased to 4.13% while mortgage rates stayed near 6.17%.
Housing demand is up and inventory is down, even with Iran conflict
Housing indicators were broadly positive last week and mortgage rates remained in the low 6s, but the Iran war poses risks.
Negative jobs report keeps mortgage rates calm amid surging oil prices
BLS reported payrolls down 92,000 and unemployment at 4.4%, as oil touched $92 and the 10-year yield reversed to near 4.12%.
Will war with Iran send mortgage rates higher or lower?
Mortgage rates ended last week at 5.99% as the 10-year hit a 2026 low, but now we have a new variable: war with Iran.
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