Housing market is poised for growth in 2026 if Iran conflict doesn’t raise rates
2026 demand data is positive, but Iran-driven energy costs, 15% tariffs, and Fed hawks could push mortgage rates above 6.25%.
Existing home sales
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Mortgage rates steady near 6.15% as oil and jobs data pose risks
30-year mortgage rates hovered near 6.15% as employer payrolls fell by 92,000 in February and markets expected no Fed rate cut next week.
Housing demand is off to a solid start in 2026
Mortgage rates and spreads stabilize, driving growth in home sales and inventory for the 2026 housing market.
Existing home sales outlook improves as mortgage rates stabilize
Normalized mortgage spreads and steady rates may drive the first real year of home sales growth since 2021.
Logan Mohtashami’s 2026 housing forecast
Inventory is back to normal and mortgage rates are forecast between 5.75% and 6.75%, shaping a steadier housing market in 2026.
Home price growth slows, affordability pressures persist
Despite a modest home price uptick, growth remains near its weakest pace since mid-2023 and continues to trail consumer inflation.
Why didn’t double-digit growth in purchase apps lead to more home sales in 2025?
Despite double-digit growth in purchase applications for much of 2025, existing home sales increased only modestly from 2024.
Existing home sales hit 9-month high with inventory at 1.43M units
Existing home sales rose for the third consecutive month, reaching a nine-month high as mortgage rates fell and inventory hit 1.43 million.
Renovated homes are still a draw, but the edge is fading
While updates still appeal to homebuyers, today’s borrowing costs have made it harder for sellers to command price premiums.
Northern Virginia real estate leaders speak on recent inventory surge
The region recorded 8,194 active listings in October, up from 5,877 annually — a level of supply that hasn’t been seen in several years.