Housing demand is off to a solid start in 2026
Mortgage rates and spreads stabilize, driving growth in home sales and inventory for the 2026 housing market.
Existing home sales
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Existing home sales outlook improves as mortgage rates stabilize
Normalized mortgage spreads and steady rates may drive the first real year of home sales growth since 2021.
Logan Mohtashami’s 2026 housing forecast
Inventory is back to normal and mortgage rates are forecast between 5.75% and 6.75%, shaping a steadier housing market in 2026.
Home price growth slows, affordability pressures persist
Despite a modest home price uptick, growth remains near its weakest pace since mid-2023 and continues to trail consumer inflation.
Why didn’t double-digit growth in purchase apps lead to more home sales in 2025?
Despite double-digit growth in purchase applications for much of 2025, existing home sales increased only modestly from 2024.
Existing home sales hit 9-month high with inventory at 1.43M units
Existing home sales rose for the third consecutive month, reaching a nine-month high as mortgage rates fell and inventory hit 1.43 million.
Renovated homes are still a draw, but the edge is fading
While updates still appeal to homebuyers, today’s borrowing costs have made it harder for sellers to command price premiums.
Northern Virginia real estate leaders speak on recent inventory surge
The region recorded 8,194 active listings in October, up from 5,877 annually — a level of supply that hasn’t been seen in several years.
The Goldilocks case for home sales in 2026
The trends are consistent enough to inspire me to sketch a Goldilocks case that results in very significant home sales growth 2026.
NAR’s Lawrence Yun predicts rising home sales, stable prices in 2026
NAR economist Lawrence Yun is forecasting a 14% rise in existing home sales and 4% price growth in 2026, due to lower mortgage rates.