Weekly home sales look stronger than normal, but there’s a catch
Recent housing data shows volatility due to holiday effects and an AWS outage, impacting pending sales and inventory figures.
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MBA forecasts $2.2T mortgage origination in 2026
Purchase originations are forecast to increase 7.7% to $1.46T next year and refinance originations are expected to increase 9.2% to $737B.
Did housing inventory peak in August this year?
Housing inventory may have peaked early this year, marking an unusual shift in market trends that affects both buyers and sellers.
Why has housing inventory growth slowed?
Housing inventory growth has slowed in 2025 due to early peak listings, changing mortgage rates, and seller withdrawals.
Mortgage spreads are the hero of the 2025 housing market
Mortgage spreads are the hero of housing in 2025, quietly helping housing demand pick up even when nobody else notices.
Have lower mortgage rates already changed the housing market?
This weekend’s tracker focuses on how lower mortgage rates have changed the supply and demand data lines since mid-June.
Mortgage rates go wild following Fed rate cut and Powell remarks
Mortgage rates rose 15 basis points today following Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments at the Fed press event Wednesday.
Can mortgage rates get below 6% with this Federal Reserve?
Mortgage rates dropped to 6.29% last week after the jobs report, but economic factors can only do so much without help from the Fed.
Lower mortgage rates pushed inventory lower in August
Year-over-year inventory growth has dropped from recent highs of 33% to 22%, despite mortgage rates not yet approaching 6%.
Did lower mortgage rates already lower housing inventory?
Last week we saw an actual decline in inventory week to week, which is rare for this time of year compared to recent years.